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SOUTH
& EAST AFRICA
From very small amounts of offshore production in 1996
(from South Africa) oil output grew substantially up to 2005 as onshore
regions in Sudan came onstream.
Offshore
production from South Africa peaked in 2004 but regional onshore output
will continue to rise up to 2011/12 before falling away.
Offshore gas production has been flat from South Africa
but the introduction of new, mainly onshore, fields in East Africa is
leading to rapid growth in production, albeit from a modest base.
Oil consumption is growing in the region but this will
flatten off by 2010. Gas consumption growth is significant as new fields
in Tanzania and Mozambique are exploited locally and for export to South
Africa.
Nearly all the region’s oil imports are used in South
Africa. However the rapid reduction in imports after 1999, which flatten
off in 2010, is due to growing output from Sudan.
There is currently no gas trade into or out of the
region.
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