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FORMER
SOVIET UNION
The countries of the former Soviet Union are major oil
and gas producers. Although onshore oil production will reach a peak
around 2010, new offshore production from Russia and Kazakhstan in the
Caspian Sea and from Russia off Sakhalin Island will continue to grow to
the end of the period.
Both
onshore and offshore gas production is rising, again from Russia,
Azerbaijan, and Kazakhstan, but also from onshore Turkmenistan and
Uzbekistan.
Former Soviet Union gas demand is bound to increase
rapidly as new supplies are realised, replacing other fuels (especially
oil) wherever possible. Exports of oil will grow to 2010 after which
declining production levels from Russia will reduce trade. Gas exports
will stabilise after 2007 as internal growth in use roughly balances
production increases.
There are thus strong incentives for the FSU to develop
more gas to serve the needs of both western markets in Europe and
eastern markets in North Asia.
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