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SUPPLY
Syrian oil production peaked in 1995. It remained at a
plateau until 2001 but is now rapidly declining as the country’s larger
fields deplete, especially the giant Suwaidiyah field. There are
insufficient prospects for declines to be reversed although they are
being slowed.
Syria has been progressively reducing flaring of gas by way of the
DezGas project whilst the Central Area Gas project is adding
non-associated gas. Production has been increasing since 2002, besides a
dip in 2007, and it is forecast to continue to grow as gas has become a
prime drilling target and infrastructure is being developed.
Syria has no offshore oil or gas production and no potential is
recognised, although exploration is commencing. Neighbouring offshore
discovereis in Israel has boosted Syria's potential for offshore gas
finds.
DEMAND
Oil consumption has been near flat since 1999 whilst
exports decline each year, although consumption jumped a little in 2006
and 2007. There is unlikely to be much room for growth in the longer
term.
Government policy is to encourage gas substitution to maximise oil
exports and so gas consumption has been rising since 2002 and is
expected to rise more rapidly with new gas projects. However
commencement of gas exports by pipeline to neighbouring countries are
not forecast before 2020.
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